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Playbook · Signal motion

Hiring spikes: reading the org chart between the lines

5+ open roles in a function in 30 days is the signal; what those roles tell you about the org's actual investment thesis is the play. Reading the role mix (ICs vs. managers, generalists vs. specialists) to predict what tools they'll buy next.

01The signal

Summary
5+ open roles in a function in 30 days is the signal; what those roles tell you about the org's actual investment thesis is the play. Reading the role mix (ICs vs. managers, generalists vs. specialists) to predict what tools they'll buy next.
Trigger
Hiring spike detected — 5+ open roles in a single function within 30 days
Timing window
Days 14-45 after the spike begins
Target persona
VP of the function hiringHead of PeopleCEO
Success metric
Reply with a specific role-related question — opens the conversation.

02Cadence

The step-by-step rhythm we use to run this play. Skipping steps usually loses more than it saves — the asymmetric spacing is part of why it works.

Day 14 email Anchor on the spike + name the operational reality (onboarding load, tool gaps, cohort-ramp problem)
Day 21 linkedin Share a relevant artifact (onboarding checklist, ramp framework)
Day 30 email Offer a specific framework for the post-hire-wave gap
Day 42 email Break-up
First-message template TPL-119 — "engineering hiring spike — ramp question" →

03Expected outcome

Outcome: 12-18% reply rate. Best when the role-mix reading is specific ('your 8 backend reqs + 1 staff hire = you're building infra')

Success metric: Reply with a specific role-related question — opens the conversation.

04Anti-patterns · do not run this when

  • Do not pitch recruiting tools — too obvious, low signal
  • Do not assume hiring = buying — sometimes it's just hiring
  • Do not skip the role-mix reading — generic 'congrats on the hiring' loses
Playbook entry · ships as-of {date('M Y')}. Operator-written, no theory inflation. If you've run this play and the numbers don't match yours — or the rhythm needs a tweak — write to [email protected] and we'll revise.
Signal-anchored outbound, no theater

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